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Talk to your enemies:
Win the peace in Afghanistan
and Pakistan

 

By

Jonathan Power
TFF Associate since 1991

Comments directly to JonatPower@aol.com

January 25, 2007

LONDON - Pervez Musharraf, president and military strong man of Pakistan, opened his eyes wide, sat bolt upright on his sofa, and said, “I never thought of that”. He repeated the phrase and looked, I dare to suggest, a little bewildered. In many years of interviewing top leaders I have never before felt the sensation of catching someone totally off balance. Yet all I had asked was, “Why don’t you talk to your enemies, the Taliban and Al Qaeda?”

In two hours of conversation there was no effort, as is usual with senior Pakistani officials, to persuade me that the Taliban and Al Qaeda were being defeated or that the war in Afghanistan was going well. Indeed, there was an absence of bravado and a receptivity to new, so far unconsidered, ideas.

Pakistan is the hub of the Anglo-American/Nato war against Al Qaeda and the Taliban. The British have here their largest embassy in the world. The city is full to the brim with American secret agents and senior military people.

But the truth is the war in Afghanistan is going badly. The Taliban are gaining the upper hand, financially fuelled by proceeds from poppy growing, which they now encourage in a reverse of policy when they were in power, when they ruled that it was unIslamic. Al Qaeda, too, high up in the mountains of Pakistan, is re-building its strength.

In different ways both the presidents of Afghanistan and Pakistan are besieged. President Hamid Karzai appears to realize that the Western forces are losing ground to the Taliban and that he is unable to do much about the infiltration of fresh warriors from Pakistan.

Musharraf for his part is throwing troops into the frontier areas, some 80,000. But with the militants finding it all too easy to hide in the refugee camps on Pakistani soil where 2.5 million Afghan refugees live, mainly Pashtuns, and with both Afghanistan and the West pouring scorn on his suggestion that he mine and fence the border, the battle is uphill with heavy losses on the Pakistani side. Meanwhile, support in Pakistan for the militants grows. As a former Pakistani ambassador, Tariq Fatemi, wrote recently in the Karachi newspaper, “Dawn”, brute force tactics which have often killed women and children and destroyed homes and crops have been counterproductive. “The impression has gained ground among the tribes that we are oblivious to their lives and interests.”

On both sides of the border are the Pashtuns, arguably the world’s most adept fighting people. They call the shots. The Pashtuns have been the standard bearers of Afghani nationalism ever since the state came into being 250 years ago. One invasion, British or Soviet, is just like another, American. It is mandatory in the Pashtun code of honour for an insult to be avenged. As the saying goes, “A Pashtun waited 100 years and then took his revenge - it was quick work.”

Only by entering into negotiations to compensate for lives and dishonour done to the deceased, the maimed and insulted can the mutual reinforcing cycle of violence be curtailed. A jirga (tribal council), which brings together the Taliban, Kabul, Islamabad and Pakistani’s northern tribes, each with equal representation, must begin a dialogue towards a ceasefire. The Taliban will insist on a timetable for withdrawal of US/Nato troops.


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We should not fear the Afghani Taliban. Mullah Omar’s interview in January suggests he is distancing himself from Osama bin Laden. Not one Afghan has been associated with any terror attacks in the West. Bin Laden, assuming he and his men are in Pakistan, can no longer easily finance or mastermind terrorism from a remote cave. He should be finished off by careful police work. Al Qaeda operatives are paying locals in dollars for protection, Musharraf told me. That makes a kind of paper trail. As for the harsher side of would-be Taliban rule - let Pashtun culture work on that over time. The Pashtun Zeitgeist, as another “Dawn” writer, M.P. Bhandara, suggests, “does not offer democracy but it does stress personal autonomy and equality”.

This is why I suggested to Musharaff that he talk to the Taliban, even to Al Qaeda. “No one has ever suggested that”, he added. “You have a point. I must think about it”. I also suggested that he engage in less “bang bang” and more economic and social development in the alienated border villages. He did not demur. Finally, I said, quoting a column by Maia Szalavitz in the International Herald Tribune from January last year, why not persuade the international community to buy up the poppy crop direct from the peasants and use it for badly needed medicinal purposes, undercutting both the mafia and the Taliban’s source of funds. “ I have never thought of that either”, he said. “Yes, perhaps we could. Let’s cost it and see if it is practical”.

Thinking the unthinkable would be a useful start.

Copyright © 2007 Jonathan Power

 

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Jonathan Power can be reached by phone +44 7785 351172
and e-mail: JonatPower@aol.com

 
Follow this link to read about - and order - Jonathan Power's book written for the
40th Anniversary of Amnesty International

"Like Water on Stone - The Story of Amnesty International"

 

 

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