Preventing
Peace - New Report
TFF PressInfo
82
December 16, 1999
"We are seeing it for the umteenth time in
international conflict-management: when intellectual
analysis and politics fall apart, cover it up with military
potency and give it all a human face! One would like to
believe that the West's moral, legal and political conflict
'management' disaster in the Balkans and in Kosovo 1989-1999
would be debated throughout the West - democracies with
freedom of speech. The silence about that failure, however,
is roaring. It's just the locals who won't understand how
well-meaning we were and are!
But something else is happening: the disaster is turning
into a recipe! Read the statements from leading ministers,
top generals, EU, and NATO during the last six months. They
invariably state 'that we have learnt in Kosovo' that we
need more military capacity, more force. NATO's Secretary-
General, Lord Robertson, tells the world that "the time for
a peace dividend is over because there is no permanent peace
- in Europe, or elsewhere. If NATO is to do its job of
protecting future generations, we can no longer expect to
have security on the cheap." Well, Lord Robertson is of
course constitutionally prevented from pondering what world
leaders have done so miserably the last ten years since the
century ends under such dark clouds.
The EU has decided to conduct a turbo-militarization. It
has nothing to do with a European Army, we are told - then
we can be sure that's what they are heading for. No, it's
for peace. And it's modelled on the handling of Kosovo. It
means repetition, somewhere sometime, of that failed
policy"- says TFF director Jan Oberg.
"To put it crudely, what the EU, the US and NATO have
done with all the unique historical peace opportunities of
1989 is to practise a new idea: PEACE-PREVENTION. Western
power political, geostrategic, geo-economic motives and
military-industrial needs coupled with world cultural and
media dominance increasingly function as force multipliers -
straight toward a new world-anatagnising authoritarianism.
For years to come, this means a less stable, more
militarised Europe, a new globalised Cold War, more
destruction and more human suffering - in the Balkans and
Eurasia in the future.
Most security and peace intellectuals seem safely
immunized against criticism and independent, alternative
thinking. And neither the citizens of Western democracies
nor those of Eastern Europe are consulted at this fateful
moment of contemporary history.
We are ending this century in an extremely ill-fated
manner. The West obviously could not survive the old Cold
War's end without creating new enemies. Some of us -
http://www.transnational.org/forum/meet/lossofenemy.html -
raised that worry exactly ten years ago. It's part of the
deep ideology of the West," says Oberg.
The report
TFF has found it necessary, at this moment, to take a
more systematical look at what the West has done as
self-proclaimed conflict-managers and mediators since the
war started in 1991. The collection of intellectual and
moral failures is published in "PREVENTING PEACE. SIXTY
EXAMPLES OF CONFLICT-MISMANAGEMENT IN FORMER YUGOSLAVIA
SINCE 1991."
It contains theory and is very concrete, with the
following chapters:
- Pro-active violence-prevention
- Conflicts and emergencies
- Civil society peace culture
- and then comes the sixty examples of conflict
mismanagement, concluding in
- nine peace-making lessons that must be learned -
again.
This analysis will be followed up by constructive
proposals and alternatives to each of the sixty mistakes -
what should have been done instead based on a philosophy of
principled mediation and peacemaking.
It's short, sharp and sad - sad as a comment on how
leaders are misleading us into what looks like impending
chaos. On top of it you hear every day that 'we have no
choice' and that 'the developments require...'We hope that
it will help you think realistically and mindfully about the
implications of this particular turn of the year, decade and
century.
PREVENTING PEACE. SIXTY EXAMPLES OF CONFLICT MISMANAGEMENT
IN FORMER YUGOSLAVIA SINCE 1991.
58 pp, 125 Swedish kronor or 15 US$ plus postage.
How to order:
Write to TFF@transnational.org, we send you payment
instructions and when your payment has arrived, we send the
analysis to you.
© TFF 1999
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