The
acquiescing, commonplace Sweden
PressInfo #
133
October
4, 2001
By
Jan Oberg, TFF director
Svensk
utgåva av denna
Once upon a time, there was a
Sweden that was different and wanted to make a difference
in the world. Over the last few years it has become an
acquiescing, commonplace Sweden that has almost abandoned
its creativity and independent foreign policy. Now it
follows the flock and the leader(s) of the
flock.
A country of only 8 million people, Sweden used to
base its welfare on heavy industry and science, on
Scandinavian welfare thinking, equality and a strong
civil society filled with active NGOs. There is even a
term for that quality: "folkrörelses-Sverige," the
"peoples' movement Sweden." As a foreign policy actor,
Sweden made a difference by vigorously promoting goals
such as international solidarity, non-alignment, nuclear
disarmament, common security, confidence-building and
peace-keeping through a policy of active neutrality.
It was a staunch believer in and supporter of the
United Nations. It took a stand when small countries were
attacked and, as a government, it promoted NGO activities
such as the Great Peace Journey and the People's Assembly
for Disarmament, in the 1980s. The foreign policy of
Sweden was based on public debate and commitment and,
thus, to a considerable degree anchored in popular
support. It was not a policy "over and above the heads of
the people."
Well, of course it wasn't a fairy-tale country. But it
was different, it made a difference and many Swedes,
including the leaders of the Social Democratic Party,
took pride in promoting certain values and ideals in
world affairs.
Then there was a
crisis...
Somehow a crisis hit this Sweden in the 1980s. There
are those who would say that it began with the murder of
its prime minister, Olof Palme, but that may not be the
whole explanation however important he was for the
identity of Swedes and their foreign policy.
The nation's sense of direction and self-confidence,
as well as some of its basic foreign policies values,
began to crumble with the crisis of the welfare state.
Its keen interest in Third World affairs receded in the
wake of the end of the Cold War and its membership in the
European Union.
While Sweden had sought security in being different
and creative -- which served it well -- its leading
Social Democratic Party had taken upon itself to, quite
silently, change Sweden, one step after another, into a
commonplace country, one like all the rest. And the rest
did not mean the world but that small part of the world
that consisted of the EU and NATO.
So, while Sweden believed originally in a Third Way
for itself and many others, it now seems to believe in
only one way. This "one way" policy rather uncritically
follows the larger countries of the West and,
consequently, Sweden has virtually ceased to have a
foreign policy of its own, not to mention a global
perspective in its actions.
Little debate,
increasing concern
Mysteriously, all of this has taken place without any
comprehensive public policy discussion in Sweden. Nor has
the Social Democratic Party leadership initiated a broad
debate within its party circles, in spite of the fact
that these are fundamental issues of great interest to
the base of the party.
This may explain why a series of party heavyweights
are now raising their voices outside the party. Among
them we find ambassador Carl Lidbom, former defence
minister Thage G. Petterson, former disarmament minister
Mai-Britt Theorin, former prime minister Ingvar Carlsson,
former minister of education Carl Tham (S-G of the Olof
Palme International Centre), former minister of foreign
affairs Sten Andersson and, most recently, ambassador and
former security policy éminence grise, Sverker
Astrom. They choose to do so in the Swedish media. The
grassroots in local party branches also seem to be on the
move.
The rather
fundamental changes
If not downright opposed to the new party line, they
are concerned about the manner in which one or more of
the following changes have taken place during the past
10-15 years:
Sweden sold out almost
completely to the trendy privatisation and marketisation
philosophy of the 1980s.
Workers began to speculate in bubble economy shares
and few turned up to the marches every May 1. The ideal
that wage policies should demonstrate solidarity with
low-paid workers were abandoned and Sweden rapidly moved
towards a class society structure with considerable
income gaps, in stark contrast to everything the Party
had previously stood for even since beginning of the
century. Considerable parts of the mixed, Third Way
Myrdal-like welfare state were demolished.
Sweden did not promote
a new thinking about security and the role of Europe
after 1989.
This fact is paradoxical since Sweden was uniquely
well-prepared to do so due to the Palme Commission
proposals (1982), which evolved around the concept of
"common security" - - seeking security together with and
not against the other side. This concept was in line with
Willy Brandt's "Ostpolitik" and the détente of the
early 1970s. It was equally compatible with the Helsinki
Process initiated by Finland and lead to the creation of
the OSCE. And, most importantly, it would have been a way
to strengthen the 'new thinking' and glasnost policies of
Mikhail Gorbachev.
Sweden's neutrality
position was scrapped and a great potential
lost.
Establishment experts argued that, since there were no
longer two blocs, neutrality was a policy of the past.
This was intellectually flawed, of course, since one can
be neutral and impartial among three or more actors, not
only two.
Sweden was never neutral in terms of values or
socio-economic philosophy. Although not a member of an
alliance, it was pretty clear which side it would be on
should a war break out between East and West. It planned
to be, and was seen as, an ally of the West, and as a
forward positioning area. But Sweden enjoyed being seen
as a potential bridge-builder and mediator that was
related both to the North-South and to the East-West
conflict. The importance of that role, also for the
future, was lost upon the Social Democratic Party as well
as the establishment security experts.
In the post-Cold War era, many conflicting parties
around the world need exactly such actors since the world
is polarised into the West/US and the rest. The Balkans
are a case in point, but Sweden never took a mediation
initiative there; it subordinated its policies to that of
the EU and, later, NATO/KFOR.
An important point about neutrality is that it is a
peace-time preparation aimed at staying out of wars
others may fight. This means that the neutral actor may
be seen as a reliable, impartial conflict-mitigator that
can choose to make itself available to the wider
international community and facilitate dialogue,
mediation and peace-making.
With neutrality scrapped as an official policy, Sweden
has increased the risk that it will be dragged into
somebody else's war. Nowadays this means on the side of
the strong West, no matter what the issue may be.
The famous submarines
were more imagined than real, U-137 being the only
exception.
All submarines were supposed to come from the East.
Later analyses documented that the evidence was
insufficient, to the extent that it deceived the domestic
and international public. No mention was made of the much
more robust and frequent violations of the waters and the
airspace by NATO countries. What and who inside Sweden
were really behind the search and bombing of these
non-existing submarines (sometimes called "budget
submarines") is an issue that remains to be revealed and
debated.
Sweden joined the
(NATO) Partnership for Peace and claims that NATO
membership is not an option.
During the Cold War, formal NATO membership was not an
option and could hardly be mentioned. Now it can be
discussed, but the Social Democratic Party policy is that
non-alignment stands. This is a tactically convenient
position since Sweden does not need formal membership
with its mutual security guarantees. What it needs in the
new world order is to move ever closer to alliance
policies and integrate its defence industry and overall
policies with NATO. This allows Sweden to, wisely, keep
outside NATO's nuclear dimension. And it circumvents the
heated debate a formal membership would provoke among the
Swedes. There are no cases since 1989 where the Swedish
government voiced dissent with what NATO and the United
States actually did. In short, it manages to be with NATO
but not inside it, as exemplified by the following
point.
Sweden endorsed NATO's
bombing of Yugoslavia.
During those months in 1999, Sweden tacitly sold out
four foundation stones of its post-1945 policies:
a) the solidarity with small states, in this case a
small European neutral and non-aligned state like
itself;
b) the inviolability of the principle of
sovereignty;
c) the insistence upon a UN mandate as a base of
military action and
d) the argument that negotiations and other civilian
means must have been tried and found in vain before
military action is resorted to.
The International
Independent Kosovo Commission, established by prime
minister Goran Persson, legitimated the shameful
bombing.
This was anything but an impartial analysis. With
minor exceptions, it supported Western policies even to
the point of arguing that Kosovo ought to become
independent,
irrespective of what government might eventually take
over in Belgrade. It was an
intellectual and political flop which was politically
ignored when it appeared and which nobody talks about
today. (The UN University study, "Kosovo and the
Challenge of Humanitarian Intervention" did a far better
job).
Sweden's insistence
that it considers the UN central sounds increasingly
hollow.
Facts speak more than words. Today Sweden has some 80
nationals in UN peace-keeping missions, some 800 soldiers
under NATO/KFOR command in Kosovo and plans to have 1800
in the forthcoming EU
rapid intervention force to be ready by 2003. As we
shall see in PressInfo 134, it has not opposed a
US-dominated agenda of the UN in response to the
September 11 terror act.
Sweden spearheaded the
militarisation of the European Union.
Before it entered the EU, the Swedes were told that
the EU would not imply military co-operation and that it
would not imply a foreign and security policy spoken with
one voice. That's exactly what it turned out to do! The
turning point came with the events in Yugoslavia and
Kosovo: the EU concluded that the United States was too
powerful and did almost all the bombing itself. The EU
could not remain an economic superpower and a military
dwarf with virtually no action capacity.
By coincidence, spring 2001 was the period in which
the work to set the EU intervention force and civilian
crisis management on track -- and it was also the period
in which the EU was chaired by Sweden.
Prime minister Goran Persson and foreign minister Anna
Lindh argued that the new force was merely to do
mine-sweeping and humanitarian tasks and that it would be
a great support for the United Nations and UN
peace-keeping (!). Now it turns out that it is supposed
to operate up to 6000 kilometres from Brussels and
consist of more than 60,000 heavily armed troops with
advanced equipment, including fighter planes and
submarines. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs doubled its
organisational grant for the year 2001 to the Swedish UN
Association (already equal to the combined grants
allocated to all the 14 other NGOs!), and its leadership
in turn began to argue that the EU force was a blessing
for the United Nation.
Increasingly
pro-Israeli position in the Middle East
conflict.
Over the last years, the active political support to
the Palestinian struggle against the occupation has been
toned down. Last October, Sweden abstained when the UN
General Assembly voted about a text that mentioned
Israel's "excessive use of force." Over many years,
minister of foreign affairs, Sten Andersson, has played a
leading role in bringing the Israelis and Palestinians
together, most recently in what has been called the
Stockholm Track. This important mitigation work has now
been discontinued.
Giving up global
solidarity in the age of
globalisation
And to add to all this, there is much less commitment,
and much less discussion, about global solidarity, and
about active political support for the weakest countries
and peoples.
Before its EU membership, Sweden could profile itself
as a champion of global justice and (nuclear) disarmament
and conversion of military resources to civilian use
(e.g. disarmament ambassador Inga Thorsson initiative in
the UN in the mid 1980s.) It could have disarmament
ambassadors, a tradition associated with names such as
Alva Myrdal, Inga Thorsson and Maj Britt Theorin. None of
it is irrelevant today.
Even when inside the EU, Sweden could have continued
to actively push these issues and tried to influence EU
policies. For instance, it could have promoted a
different diagnosis of the Balkans and made itself
available as a mediator to the parties. But it has chosen
not to promote such pluralism; its foreign policy
leadership seems content to be represented by the Once
Voice of other, larger, EU members.
So, Sweden once had a profile as an internationalist
foreign policy actor, with considerable idealism and
vision. It was respected for that around the world, seen
as a pioneer by many in the Third World and elsewhere.
Much of that image was related to Olof Palme, of course,
but it was also an important dimension in the identity of
the Swedes. And few countries with a population half the
size of London had the influence on and the respect of
the world as Sweden had.
Paradoxically, one might say that in an era of
intensive globalisation Sweden is now more European and
provincial in its outlook (reflected also in its media
and public debate) than ever since 1945.
Speaking with one
voice - but not its own
Sweden now basically follows the flock and does not
speak with its own voice. Whether it uses or echoes the
voice of the bigger EU members, of the United States, or
of both, the important thing is that it is no longer
Sweden's own. While it once made its own analyses of the
world and debated what to struggle for and against with
an independent mind, today's Swedish policy-making is
merely about positioning, its statements merely echoes of
the more influential players.
And now, in the midst of what looks like the most
serious international crisis since the Cuban Missile
Crisis almost 40 years ago, the Swedish government sides
completely with a violent approach for the presumed U.S.
response to the terrorist attack on September 11.
We shall take a closer look at that example of
positioning in PressInfo 134.
© TFF 2001
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