The
tsunami - the real scandal
and some lessons
PressInfo #
207
January
16, 2005
By
Dietrich
Fischer, TFF Associate
Professor, dr., Academic Director
European University Center for Peace Studies
(EPU)
The
hard facts of the scandal
Here is an article by TFF Associate
Michel Chossudovsky that shows that "Washington
was aware that a deadly tidal wave was building up in the
Indian Ocean."
It forms an important part of
Richard
Norton-Taylor's article here in The
Guardian. There is also
this news report by MSNBC, Tsunami
spares U.S. base in Diego Garcia.
And, finally, read Eric Wadell's Why
weren't they warned?
These reports confirm that the
US
military base on
Diego
Garcia in the Indian Ocean
received a warning of the impending tsunami, but
civilians did not. As we know now, the warning was not
passed on.
This is a crime
of unprecedented proportions and should be
exposed.*
Diego Garcia, as a US Navy Base, is
a member of the PACIFIC tsunami warning system, even
though it is located in the Indian Ocean. Its members
were informed by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA) in Colorado that there is a a
tsunami in the Indian ocean, but that there is no danger
in the Pacific. (There is a 56
minute video by John Pilger about Diego Garcia, Stealing
a Nation. The island has
been central in the military operations against
Afghanistan and Iraq).
This exposes the
military's justification of itself as "protecting lives"
as a sham. Someone who shoots a policeman receives the
death penalty in the United States. But if someone bears
responsibility for a large portion of the estimated
200,000 who died in the tsunami by withholding
life-saving information from those who need it, that is
not now considered a crime, even though it is far more
serious.
Someone who lost
a relative or friend in the tsunami ought to file a
lawsuit against those who knew but failed to inform the
people in danger, including the commander of the military
base in Diego Garcia, and perhaps the Pentagon.
There is little chance that they
could win the case, but it would get a lot of publicity,
and help invigorate the debate about the role of the
military in our world.
The following column argues that
even without an official tsunami warning system in place
in the Indian ocean, a warning could have been given in
time to many of those who were affected.
* Please see also a
journalism professors question on Independent
Journalists Online.
The
lessons from the tsunami
Syndicated by the
Inter-Press Service, 4. January 2005
In an interview on CNN on 2.
January, the head of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA) in Colorado was asked the question
on everyone's mind: Why was no warning issued to the
countries that were hit by a tsunami after NOAA detected
the strong earthquake off the west coast of Sumatra on
26. December? He responded that first of all, there was
no warning system in place, there was nobody in those
countries to receive the message. Second, NOAA did not
have a precise model of the tsunami and could not have
known how many need to evacuate.
It does not take an expensive
warning system to suspect that this magnitude 9
earthquake under the sea might be followed by a tsunami,
and that thousands of people's lives along the densely
populated coast lines facing the epicenter could be in
danger. A magnitude 8.3 earthquake in Lituya Bay off the
Alaskan coast in 1958 generated a wave sweeping up to 516
meters altitude, washing trees off mountain slopes,
fortunately in an unpopulated area. True, not every
earthquake under the ocean generates a tsunami, but the
precautionary principle tells us to prepare for the worst
in case of uncertainty.
Even if the job description of the
scientists who detected the earthquake did not include
warning those whose lives were in danger, it was their
moral responsibility to do so. They may not have had
phone numbers of government agencies in charge in the
affected countries. But if they had informed anyone who
could pass on the warning, even at night, including
friends and relatives, they may have been able to reach
some people in the affected areas who could have
forwarded the information to others. If someone called
ten others, and those in turn each called ten more, and
so on, a billion people could be reached in principle in
only nine steps. Even if some fail to pass on the
warning, others will.
People without telephone can be
warned by neighbors. Radio broadcasts and internet
messages will also be picked up by some, who can inform
others in person and by phone. Helicopters could have
beamed warnings by megaphone along the endangered
shorelines.
Why nothing of that sort was done
is incomprehensible.
The US State Department could have
contacted its foreign embassies in the region, and
governments directly. Some governments did have
information, but failed to act on it, fearing its adverse
effect on tourism. It took the tsunami 3 hours and 52
minutes to reach Sri Lanka, less for Thailand, but plenty
of time for a warning. There is enough blame to be
shared.
It is not necessary to know
precisely what areas are in danger and need to be
evacuated. What mistake is more serious: going to higher
ground when in retrospect it may turn out unnecessary, or
to stay and drown?
For the people on the West Coast of
Sumatra, time for a warning was short, only about 20
minutes for Banda Aceh, one of the most affected areas.
Moreover, some phone lines were destroyed. But people
should have been educated that strong earthquakes are
often followed by destructive waves. Those who were not
seriously injured by the quake itself could have reached
safer ground.
Ignorance can kill, and education
can save lives. A good example is oral rehydration. A
table spoon of sugar and a tea spoon of salt mixed with a
liter of boiled water given teaspoon by teaspoon to
victims of acute diarrhea from cholera or typhus can save
them from death by dehydration. Before that simple
therapy was widely known, 30-40 percent of cholera
patients used to die. In the 1991 cholera epidemic in
Peru, where people knew that therapy, less than 1 percent
of the infected people died.
It is welcome that many governments
and individuals have made available over $1 billion for
the rescue effort. But that still represents only 1/10 of
1 percent of the world's annual military budget. Much
more will be needed, and can be made available before
more lives are lost to thirst, hunger, injuries and
disease.
In this enormous tsunami disaster,
over 155,000 people are already known to have died, tens
of thousands are missing, and many more could die from
diseases caused by contaminated drinking water. This
immense suffering, which has been covered widely by the
media, has for once vividly shown the magnitude of the
structural violence that goes on unreported: an estimated
125,000 people per day, or 45 million per year, mostly
children and the elderly, die needlessly from hunger and
preventable diseases in our world of plenty. What
consumers in the West spend for icecream, cosmetics and
pet food would suffice to cover adequate nutrition and
health care for all the people in the world who now lack
it!
Let us redouble our efforts to end
this horrible injustice.
Dietrich Fischer
<fischer@epu.ac.at>
is Academic Director of European University Center for
Peace Studies in Stadtschlaining, Austria, and
Co-director of TRANSCEND, a peace and development
network.
© TFF and the author 2005
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